Trading Journal 2 trades
Performance stats from your trade journal entries
Top Watches
38 setups RG + Vincent D'Aziano
SHORT
IBM
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-14
Entry Zone
$$230-235
Stop
$$245
Targets
$$210 T1
$$200 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Fade bounce to broken support turned resistance
- ▸Wait for bounce into $235-240
- ▸Rejection = entry
- ▸Target $210/$200
Vincent
"IBM ER this morning without warning. Demand 220/230."
RG Analysis
Software demand concerns don't resolve in one session. Fade the dead cat bounce.
LONG
LLY
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-07
Entry Zone
$
Stop
$Below daily retest level
Targets
$Prior swing high T1
$Trend extension T2
Support
$0
Resistance
$0
⚡ Buy daily retest level hold + XLV confirmation
Vincent
"Daily retest on LLY could be special. Watch for XLV outperformance today."
RG Analysis
Healthcare rotation play. Diversifies book from tech. LLY is XLV sector leader.
LONG
HOOD
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-06-10
Entry Zone
$$84-85
Stop
$$82
Targets
$$92 T1
$$95 T2
Support
$84
$82
Resistance
$91
$95
⚡ Buy pullback to LOD support
- ▸Buy pullback to $83-84
- ▸Stop below $82
- ▸Target $92/$95
Vincent
"Waiting for action off 20 & 100DMA. Great spot."
RG Analysis
Only green stock on -2% QQQ day. +3.09%. Real relative strength.
SHORT
CRM
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-05-27
Entry Zone
$$265-270
Stop
$$280
Targets
$$245 T1
$$235 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Watch $270 reaction post-ER AH tonight
- ▸Wait for ER results
- ▸Only short on miss/weak guide
- ▸Cybersecurity sector fear may spill over
Vincent
"CRM ER AH tonight — down 32% YTD"
RG Analysis
Short only on ER miss. If beats, stay away entirely.
LONG
MSFT
⭐⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-30
Entry Zone
$430-434
Stop
$425
Targets
$450 T1
$460 T2
Support
$434
$430
$406
Resistance
$450
$460
⚡ Pullback to old 200DMA ($434) and hold as support
- ▸Entry on pullback to 430-434
- ▸Stop below 425
- ▸Target 450/460
Vincent
"ER squeeze. Pullback longs 401/406. Reclaim 434 → 450."
RG Analysis
Azure 43% beat validated AI thesis. Post-ER momentum carries 2-3 sessions on clean beats. Old resistance becomes support.
LONG
INTC
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-06-17
Entry Zone
$$118-121
Stop
$$114
Targets
$$125 T1
$$130 T2
Support
$118
$115
Resistance
$125
$130
⚡ Pullback to $118-120 + hold
- ▸Wait for pullback to $118
- ▸Small account friendly contracts
- ▸Target $125/$130
Vincent
"Pullback to 20DMA & 114/115 demand. 125/126 supply tough."
RG Analysis
18A-P production + Apple deal rumors. $125 was exact HOD rejection.
SHORT
QCOM
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-05-12
Entry Zone
$215-218
Stop
$230
Targets
$200 T1
$195 T2
Support
$200
$195
Resistance
$218
$230
⚡ Rejection at today's close zone
- ▸Wait for bounce
- ▸Stop above 230
- ▸Target 200/195
Vincent
"5/13: Pullback towards 209/211 weekly highs = long entry targeting 230 highs"
RG Analysis
5/13: Short from 218 partially played to ~209-211. Vincent now calling LONG pullback at 209/211 → 230. Do not add more short here — partial target may be in.
LONG
CRWD
⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-05-28
Entry Zone
$$660-665
Stop
$$641
Targets
$$700 T1
$$720 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Pullback to old R2 as new S
- ▸Entry at $650 R→S flip
- ▸Stop below $641
- ▸Cybersec recovery play
Vincent
"S 630/615, R 650/661"
RG Analysis
Sector fear reversed. Quality name bounced hard.
SHORT
AMZN
⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-06-17
Entry Zone
$$237-242
Stop
$$246
Targets
$$230 T1
$$225 T2
Support
$230
$225
Resistance
$240
$245
⚡ Bounce to $240-242 + rejection
- ▸Wait for bounce to $240-242
- ▸Rejection needed
- ▸Target $230/$225
Vincent
"Can we hold the higher low at 244/245 — that is the key!"
RG Analysis
244/245 held for zero candles. Relentless selling, volume into close.
LONG
TSM
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-04-29
Entry Zone
$392-395
Stop
$388
Targets
$395 T1
$400 T2
$409 T3
Support
$392
$388
Resistance
$395
$400
$0
⚡ Break + hold above $395 on 15-min
Vincent
"Consolidation above 400 building for next move towards 409."
RG Analysis
P-ATH retest setup. Pre-mkt flat $392.68 — clean setup, no gap to chase. Tariff exemption + AI demand tailwind. No ER overhang. Replacing ARM-SHORT (thesis changed).
LONG
GOOG
⭐⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-07-02
Entry Zone
$$360+
Stop
$$348
Targets
$$365 T1
$$375 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Above $360 with volume confirmation
- ▸Entry on pullback to 350-352
- ▸Stop below 348
- ▸Target 365/375
Vincent
"Jul 21: Not covered by Vincent today. ER CONFIRMED Wed Jul 22 AH (Alphabet + Tesla kick off Mag7 cycle). No new options — wait for post-ER reaction."
RG Analysis
Q1 EPS blew out ($5.11 vs $2.66 est). 43/53 analysts Strong Buy, avg PT $433. Thesis intact but IV crush risk on options before ER. Wait for post-ER reaction.
SHORT
UNH
⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-04-22
Entry Zone
$$345-355
Stop
$$362
Targets
$$330 T1
$$320 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Daily close below $345.23
- ▸Need daily close below $345.23
- ▸Stop above $360
- ▸Healthcare weak
Vincent
"Below 345.23 may fill gap downside."
RG Analysis
Setup alive but needs confirmation. Today's bounce at exact level is concerning. Low conviction until daily close below.
LONG
AAPL
⭐
ACTIVE
2026-07-27
Entry Zone
$$328-333
Stop
$$325
Targets
$$340 T1
$$345 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Hold above $330 support into earnings
- ▸Wait for dip to $328-330
- ▸Stop below $325
- ▸Target $340-345 post-earnings
Vincent
"Jul 24: Short setup at $323 — INVALIDATED (+1.17% today, reclaimed #1)"
RG Analysis
Semi rotation into consumer tech. AAPL overtook NVDA. But ⭐ only — earnings binary event, IV elevated.
LONG
MP
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-04-20
Entry Zone
$64-66
Stop
$62
Targets
$70 T1
$75 T2
Support
$64
$62
Resistance
$70
$75
⚡ Hold above $64
- ▸Retest $64 breakout
- ▸Stop below $62
- ▸Target $70+
Vincent
"Over 64 is a major breakout. Waiting months!"
RG Analysis
+8.6% confirms buyer conviction. First pullback to $64 = entry.
SHORT
ARM
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-06-23
Entry Zone
$385-395
Stop
$400
Targets
$363 T1
$350 T2
Support
$363
$350
Resistance
$390
$400
$416
⚡ Bounce to 385-390 + lower high rejection
- ▸Short on bounce to 390-395
- ▸Stop above 400
- ▸Target 363/350
Vincent
"20DMA to step up. Opportunity back to 363 demand. Rejections at 416/421 clean."
RG Analysis
SOX -7.87% momentum. ARM worst performer at -10.14%. 363 is the magnet.
LONG
MRVL
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-14
Entry Zone
$$220-225
Stop
$$182
Targets
$$194.05 T1
$$202 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ 194.05 PDH break with volume OR pullback to 187-190 + hold
- ▸Wait for pullback to $215-218
- ▸Hold above $212.93
- ▸Target 50DMA reclaim
Vincent
"Jul 21: Higher low structure forming but still below 216 major supply. Need 216 reclaim to trust recovery. Watching only."
RG Analysis
DIRECTION CONFLICT: Vincent says still below 230/50DMA = bearish. Our long watch needs 50DMA reclaim first. Reduced conviction. Watching only.
LONG
IGV
⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-07-07
Entry Zone
$$94-95
Stop
$$93
Targets
$$97.50 T1
$$100 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
$0
⚡ Test of $95 support + hold
- ▸Wait for $95 test
- ▸Enter on support hold
- ▸Stop below $93
Vincent
"Support $95, Resistance $97/$97.50"
RG Analysis
Vincent explicitly flagged software outperformance vs SMH weakness. If semi rotation continues, IGV gets the flows.
SHORT
CVNA
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-04-16
Entry Zone
$$370-373
Stop
$$385
Targets
$$345 T1
$$330 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
$0
⚡ Bounce to $370-373 + rejection → puts
- ▸Wait for bounce to short
- ▸Stop above $385
- ▸$420 resistance never threatened
Vincent
"Short setup, 4HR, $420 resistance"
RG Analysis
Clean distribution day. Volume spike at close confirms sellers. $420 miles above = no bull case near-term.
LONG
CRWV
⭐⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-06-17
Entry Zone
$110-117
Stop
$107
Targets
$122 T1
$130 T2
Support
$110
$111
$117
Resistance
$122
$130
⚡ Dip to 110/111 (50DMA) + bounce OR hold 117 as higher low
Vincent
"June 23: Retiring short-term analysis. Too sloppy $100-122 range. NDX inclusion June 22 done — catalyst exhausted."
RG Analysis
NDX inclusion was June 22 (yesterday). Forced buying catalyst exhausted. Tech selloff makes this dangerous. No clear direction. Suspended.
SHORT
AVGO
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-06-04
Entry Zone
$$425-430 rejection
Stop
$$445
Targets
$$400 T1
$$385 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Rejection at today's bounce high $425-430 zone
- ▸Wait for bounce, don't chase the drop
- ▸Stop above $445
- ▸$400 retest likely
Vincent
"No TA available"
RG Analysis
Q2 rev $22.19B vs $22.27B est. Close in lower third of day's range is bearish continuation. Failed to reclaim $426.
LONG
WDC
⭐⭐⭐
HIT
2026-04-01
Entry Zone
$293+
Stop
$280.75
Targets
$310 T1
$320 T2
Support
$288
$280.75
Resistance
$310
$320
⚡ Holds above $293 for continuation
- ▸Breakout retest at $288-292
- ▸Stop below $280.75
- ▸Target $310/$320
Vincent
"Above 280.75 could get spicy, reclaim of the 20DMA"
RG Analysis
$280.75 held to the penny. 2.7x volume. Breakout retest is textbook.
SHORT
OXY
⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-04-14
Entry Zone
$Below $55
Stop
$$58
Targets
$$53 T1
$$51 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Break below $55.10 (today's LOD)
- ▸Relative weakness on strong market day
- ▸Crude oil declining
- ▸Sector divergence
Vincent
"If CL stays strong, look for OXY upside. Holds over 50DMA & 57 are good here. Target 61."
RG Analysis
⚠️ Vincent FLIPPED BULLISH on OXY — prior short thesis reversed. CL/crude strong today = energy sector divergence. Watching 57 as long entry.
#1 PICK
SHORT
NVDA
⭐⭐
ACTIVE
2026-07-27
Entry Zone
$$200-202
Stop
$$205
Targets
$$190 T1
$$185 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Bounce to $200-202 former demand (now resistance) + rejection candle
- ▸Entry on bounce to $200-202 resistance
- ▸Stop above $205 reclaim
- ▸Target $190/$185 demand zones
Vincent
"Jul 24: Long at 205/206 demand — BROKEN today (-5%)"
RG Analysis
Demand broke decisively. $200 is new resistance. AI capex concerns + NVDA-OpenAI $250B financing scrutiny = multi-day headwind. Wait for bounce to short.
SHORT
AMD
⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-06-16
Entry Zone
$$520-525
Stop
$$540
Targets
$$490 T1
$$475 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
$0
⚡ Morning bounce to $520-525 breakdown level + rejection
- ▸Prior support 535/540 now resistance
- ▸Hawkish FOMC = continuation lower
- ▸Wait for bounce — don't chase
Vincent
"Was bullish — hold 540 for ATH continuation. Level destroyed."
RG Analysis
MEXT sell-the-news + FOMC = double headwind. -7.3% with close at LOD = sellers in full control.
SHORT
DELL
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-06-25
Entry Zone
$$420-425
Stop
$$430
Targets
$$385 T1
$$370 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Bounce to broken support zone + rejection
- ▸Short on bounce to $415-425
- ▸Stop above $430
- ▸Founder selling $1.56B is the tell
Vincent
"On watchlist"
RG Analysis
Structural downgrade + massive insider selling. Rising memory costs compress Dell's server margins. This is a multi-day short thesis.
LONG
APP
⭐⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-04-20
Entry Zone
$484-491
Stop
$475
Targets
$500 T1
$520 T2
Support
$484
$475
Resistance
$500
$520
⚡ Hold above $484 at open
- ▸Hold $484 support
- ▸Stop below $475
- ▸Target $500 round number
Vincent
"Clear 484 → 500. Pullback to 447 re-entry."
RG Analysis
Broke $484 with conviction, closed $490.96. Retest of breakout = highest-prob entry.
LONG
USO
⭐⭐⭐
HIT
2026-04-02
Entry Zone
$$133-134
Stop
$$128
Targets
$$145 T1
$$150 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Pullback to 133-134 + hold above
- ▸Pullback to gap fill zone
- ▸Stop below $128
- ▸Target prior highs $145-150
Vincent
"124/126 ideal for longs. Holds over 133.20/133.78 could keep ripping."
RG Analysis
Oil shock day — institutional volume confirms. Day 2 pullback entry preferred.
SHORT
GDX
⭐⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-03-19
Entry Zone
$$85-$86
Stop
$$88.50
Targets
$$78 T1
$$76 T2
Support
$78
$76
Resistance
$86
$87.43
⚡ Fade bounce into broken $86-$87 support (now resistance)
- ▸Fade bounce to broken support
- ▸Stop above $88
- ▸Target $76-$78
Vincent
"Retest rejection at 86.13/87.43 on GDX"
RG Analysis
TOP PICK. Macro divergence trade — gold should rally on geopolitical uncertainty but institutions distributing. Broken ascending trendline + horizontal support = dual breakdown.
SHORT
PLTR
⭐⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-05-05
Entry Zone
$134
Stop
$142
Targets
$128 T1
$122 T2
Support
$128
$122
Resistance
$138
$140
$142
⚡ Below $134 for continuation
- ▸Below $134 continuation
- ▸Stop above $142
- ▸$128/$122 targets
Vincent
"No specific thesis posted"
RG Analysis
Distribution confirmed. Only correct RG call today.
LONG
STX
⭐⭐⭐
HIT
2026-04-01
Entry Zone
$420+
Stop
$396
Targets
$440 T1
$460 T2
Support
$410
$396
Resistance
$440
$460
⚡ Holds above $420 VWAP area
- ▸Hold above $420 for continuation
- ▸Stop below $396
- ▸Target $440/$460
Vincent
"Reclaim of 20/50DMA & major previous lows — channel low longs"
RG Analysis
Strongest storage name. +8% on 1.5x vol, channel low reclaim confirmed.
SHORT
TSLA
⭐⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-07-02
Entry Zone
$$400-405
Stop
$$415
Targets
$$375 T1
$$360 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Rejection at $400-405 resistance
- ▸Short on bounce to 405-410
- ▸Stop above 415
- ▸Target 375/360
Vincent
"Pullback to 200DMA or 414.50 = long (pre-delivery miss)."
RG Analysis
⚠️ DIRECTION CONFLICT: Originally SHORT (delivery miss). Vincent Jul 2 update calls LONG at 414.50/200DMA. Watching only until Monday structure clarifies.
SHORT
CRCL
⭐
INVALIDATED
2026-04-01
Entry Zone
$93-95
Stop
$98
Targets
$85 T1
$80 T2
Support
$85
$80
Resistance
$93
$95
$98
⚡ Rejection at $93-95 broken support retest
- ▸Wait for bounce to $93-95
- ▸Stop above $98
- ▸Target $85/$80
Vincent
"Holds over 97/98 ideal for reclaim ripper setup"
RG Analysis
$97-98 shattered on -4.9%. Broken support = resistance. Bounce-fade setup.
#1 PICK
LONG
MU
⭐⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-30
Entry Zone
$750-760
Stop
$730
Targets
$795 T1
$840 T2
Support
$750
$730
$706
Resistance
$789
$795
$840
⚡ Continuation above today's HOD on volume
- ▸Entry on pullback to 750-760
- ▸Stop below 730
- ▸Target 795/840 supply
Vincent
"4HR demand + 100DMA 706/747. Hold → try 789/795 supply."
RG Analysis
MSFT validates cloud spend → memory is leveraged play. MU led chip rally today. Highest beta to AI capex cycle.
SHORT
META
⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-07-30
Entry Zone
$540-545
Stop
$555
Targets
$500 T1
$480 T2
Support
$520
$500
$480
Resistance
$540
$545
$555
⚡ Fade bounce into 540-545 broken support turned resistance
- ▸Entry on bounce to 540-545
- ▸Stop above 555
- ▸Target 500/480 demand
Vincent
"Massive daily/weekly demand 480/520. Watch response over next few days."
RG Analysis
First ER miss in 3 years. Net income -14%, OpMargin 43%→31%, capex raised. 480/520 is destination, not bounce zone.
LONG
LITE
⭐⭐⭐
WATCHING
2026-05-12
Entry Zone
$985-1005
Stop
$975
Targets
$1075 T1
$1120 T2
Support
$985
$1005
Resistance
$1053
$1075
⚡ Hold above 985/1005 previous highs on CPI dip
Vincent
"Sick move off 920/935 reclaim. Hold above 985/1005 = continuation."
RG Analysis
Stale — NDX inclusion catalyst (May 22) exhausted. Not covered in recent Vincent briefings. Low priority.
LONG
NBIS
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-05-27
Entry Zone
$$205-209
Stop
$$195
Targets
$$220 T1
$$225.5 T2
Support
$0
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
$0
⚡ $209 flip level reclaim (proved today at $209.60 HOD)
- ▸$198 flush was shakeout
- ▸Late-day HOD = accumulation
- ▸Wait for retest of flush zone
Vincent
"Support 209/211, resistance 225.5"
RG Analysis
Flush-and-reclaim confirmed May 19 + May 27. Institutional accumulation into close both times.
LONG
SNDK
⭐⭐
HIT
2026-06-25
Entry Zone
$$1,825-1,861
Stop
$$2,000
Targets
$$2,500 T1
$$2,700 T2
Support
$0
$0
Resistance
$0
$0
⚡ Pullback to pre-breakout consolidation + hold
- ▸Entry on pullback to $2,050-2,100
- ▸Stop below $2,000
- ▸Don't chase the +21% move
Vincent
"Memory sector play"
RG Analysis
Biggest percentage mover today. Pure memory name. But +21% day means pullback is likely — wait for retest, don't chase.
LONG
HOOD
⭐⭐⭐
HIT
2026-07-02
Entry Zone
$113.44+
Stop
$112.50
Targets
$120 T1
$123 T2
Support
$113.44
$110
$111
Resistance
$120
$123
⚡ Flip + hold over 113.44 → calls
Vincent
"One of the cleanest comebacks on the market. Back over 200DMA. Flip 113.44 → run to 120/123 highs."
RG Analysis
DB PT $113 + Goldman PT $121 both raised TODAY. Record June trading metrics. Binance forced out of Europe = competitor removed. Strongest catalyst stack of the day.
Pre-Market Briefings
30 days
/ES
4h
Support
7,185
7,150
Resistance
from chart
BULL
I would need to see a reclaim of the Mon/Tues lows at the very least over 7411. I would prefer to wait for a reclaim of 7500 & the 20/50DMA above.
BEAR
Look for the pop & fade at 7411/7431. You can also look for the fade at 7473/7500. Below 7293, you see aggressive selling.
The ES showed weakness yesterday with the NQ. This was a key reason for the downside. Prior to yesterday, we saw the ES try to remain higher without the NQ. Once that ES started to fall with the NQ, we saw a more aggressive downside market.
We traded down into the 100DMA on ES & a major demand between 7293/7330. This will be a big spot today. If we lose 7293, there is very little to support the ES until the 200DMA at 7185/7150. That 7185/7150 demand is also the GOLDEN ZONE retest, the retest of major previous 2025 highs.
NO longs without RECLAIMS. Today, watch for ES to reject lower highs at 7411/7430. If we fail the Monday/Tuesday lows, we will stay lower. If we reclaim the 7431, you may have some short term upside into the 7473/7500 supply that rejected on FOMC. I would say that 20/50DMA above will be the true decider. Below those short term MA's, everything remains under pressure.
/NQ
30min
Support
27,640
27,600
Resistance
26,800
27,000
BULL
To start, you need to hold back above the Tuesday low at 27600/27640. The true reclaim is back above the 100DMA & 28200.
BEAR
Look for lower high fades at 27600/27640 or higher at the 28100/28200. Retest rejection below 27195 & the 200DMA sends us lower.
No reclaim, no long... That is very clearly the new way to approach this downtrending NQ market. As of now, we remain below the Tuesday lows at 27600/27640. Look for that previous low to turn into lower high rejections. If we fail there, we trade back to the 27337 demand.
If we are able to reclaim that low, we could attempt the move back into the PDH rejections at 28100/28212. That 28200 & 100DMA above will be a major inflection point. Remaining below that 100DMA definitely keeps downside pressure on this market.
The demand between 27195/27337 is major. This is also the 100DMA. If you zoom out on the daily, you will see this is the major retest from October highs of 2025. BIG BIG spot. If we lose the 200DMA on NQ here, we should expect downside to accelerate into the 27000 level & possibly down into the 26,800.
SPY
1HR
Support
723
715
Resistance
736
743
744
736 level is main focus. Pop & fade or reclaim. Below 722.59 → 100DMA at 715.
QQQ
30min
Support
656
654
642
645
Resistance
669
668
683
686
Tue lows 669/667.88 key. Reclaim → 100DMA → 683/686. Below 653.81 → 200DMA 642/645.
Single Stocks (33)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 4H | 190 / 184 / 185 | 199 / 200 | Rejection 199/200 clean. Into major demand 190, below 184/185. 200DMA. Reclaim → 200 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 30min | 420 / 424 | 442 / 461 / 466 | Reclaim 442.27 Tue low + break downtrend → squeeze 461/466. Below 420 → 400. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 1HR | 291 / 291 / 300 | 310 / 311 | Monthly demand 291/300. Reclaim 311 for opportunity. Below 291.31 invalidates. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | Daily | 480 / 520 | — | Massive daily/weekly demand 480/520. Watch response over next few days. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 1H | 334 | 341 / 341 | Gap close amazing. Holding over 334 demand. Hold → try 341. Over 341.64 → 100/20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 4H | 401 / 406 | 434 / 450 | ER squeeze. Pullback longs 401/406. Up against 200DMA 434. Reclaim 434 → 450. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 1HR | 333 / 335 / 329 | 339 / 340 | Failing back below P-ATH 339/340. Below → 335/333. Below 333.71 → 329 demand. EARNINGS TONIGHT. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMZN | 30min | 236 | 236 | Need reclaim 236 supply + 200DMA for breakout. EARNINGS TONIGHT AH. |
|
No chart available
|
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| MU | 15min | 706 / 747 / 635 / 652 | 789 / 795 / 841 / 854 | 4HR demand + 100DMA 706/747. Hold → try 789/795 supply. Below 705 → 635/652. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 15min | 980 / 995 | — | Did not break to new lows. 980/995 demand strong. Downtrend — need reclaims for reversal. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| STX | 4HR | — | 840 | 100DMA hold post-ER. Need 20DMA + 840 reclaim for upside. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| WDC | 1HR | — | 497 | Higher low above 100DMA. Need above 497 for expansion. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSM | 4H | 361 / 345 / 359 / 356 | 386 | Reject 386 → 361 demand. Below 359.24 gap fill → 345. 200DMA at 356. |
|
No chart available
|
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| INTC | 30min | 79.62 | 87.0 / 88.0 | Hanging at 79.62. Fail below → massive gap to 70. Maintain → 87/88 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AVGO | 4H | — | — | Star through SMH downside. Holding 200DMA, not breaking to new lows. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 4H | 194 / 206 | 253 | 194/206 demand. April major holds + 200DMA below. Reclaim 253 + 100DMA = real trade. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 4H | 158 / 160 | 180 / 194 / 206 | Big time lows. 158/160 demand. Reclaim 180 + 100DMA = trust reversal. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 15min | 497 / 500 / 488 / 483 | 515 / 518 / 536 | Need 518 reclaim for reversal. Reject 515/518 → 497/500. Below 497.75 → 488/483. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRM | 1H | 173 / 175 | — | 173/175 retest & 100DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
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| PANW | 1HR | 322 / 323 | — | Pay close attention to PANW reclaim of 322/323. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRWD | 1H | 181 / 182 | — | Look for holds over 181/182 on CRWD. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | Daily | — | — | Major daily retest + 200DMA. Best buy zone on NBIS. Interested in shares. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ABBV | 4H | 260 / 261 | — | Can we hold the 4HR retest at 260/261. |
|
No chart available
|
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| JNJ | 1HR | 255 / 256 | — | Retest 255/256 + 20DMA key watch. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| XLV | 1HR | 164 / 163 | — | XLV retest at 164. Watch how 164 holds. May need move to 20DMA at 163. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 1HR | — | — | Maintain above 20/50DMA. Software strength during market downside. 200DMA above = ultimate test. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 1HR | 231 | — | Over 231, looking for gap fill longs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 30min | 42.9 / 43.43 | 46.0 / 49.0 / 50.23 | 4HR low 42.90/43.43. Need over 46 for memory recovery. Under 42.90 → 41. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SKHY | 30min | 113 / 118 | 139 | Holding ER lows 113/118. No higher lows. Need reclaim over 139 for real interest. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SPCX | 1HR | 120 | — | Need to get above 120. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| YM | 4H | 51357 / 51245 | — | Back at 51716 major lows. Fail → 51357/51245 demand below. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 30min | 2900 / 2870 / 2860 | 2932 / 2966 / 2980 | 2932/2934 big today. Reject → stay lower. Reclaim → 20/50DMA 2966/2980. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 30min | 287 / 284 | 290 / 290 | Fail Tue lows 290.68/290.17 → stays lower. Break 287 → 284. Over 290.68 → channel. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
1h
Support
7,480
7,350
Resistance
7,350
7,400
BULL
Look for a break & hold over 7480 for upside towards 7530
BEAR
Fail below 7400 gives us the next leg lower into 7350. Look for rejections at the 7480 level.
Look for the lower high to develop at the 7470/7480 supply today. If we reject there, a nice downside setup towards 7415/7404. Below 7404, we continue lower into the 7350/7330 demand & the 100DMA.
If we want to see a recovery on this market, we need a break & hold over 7480 which would then give us a move back towards that 20DMA at 7540/7530.
If we stay within the 7480 to 7400 channel, trading would be less ideal intra-day today.
/NQ
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
28,126
28,740
BULL
Reclaim the 28740 for a move into 29000 again.
BEAR
Reject the 28430 for a lower leg towards 28126 & the 100DMA.
The lower high rejection played out perfectly. This was our best short watch to start the week & here we are today! Little difficult to catch due to the overnight move making up most the downside but overall great levels.
Today, we are holding the major low at 29430/29480. If we maintain that low, there is a chance we have a failed breakdown & the market recovers. To get that recovery, we will need to get a break & hold over the 28740. Over 28740, we get a move into the 29021/29064 again.
If break below the 28430, we get the next leg lower into the 28126 & 100DMA.
/ES
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
7,470
7,570
BULL
Look for a reclaim of the 7540 & 20DMA.
BEAR
Clean retest fails below PDL for downside into the 7470.
The ES continue to fail the 20DMA & we are now back below the 7530/7540 highs once again. Clearly we are unable to hold any move higher. Yesterday extended into the 50DMA once again & the 7570 supply we had & rejected on the dot. Lovely levels, clean rejection.
Today, we are wicking at the PDL & the Tuesday low. This is the battlezone, EXPECT TRAPS AT THIS LEVEL. As you can see from the overnight, large liquidity grabs below that level. Target would ultimately be the 7470/7460.
REMEMBER how tight this range is.
If we can hold the PDL & find strength, a flip over 7540 would get us back towards the 7570 highs.
/NQ
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
28,740
29,300
BULL
Need to see a higher low form at the 29042/29064 today. If we get that, we rip back into the 29300 highs. Over 29,400 is the true market breakout.
BEAR
If we fail below PDL & the overnight low at 28922, we should see the downside towards gap fill & 28740.
In the overnight session, we moved lower, entered the gap into PDL. The NQ once again holds PDL & wicks back higher. We are now back above the 29042/29064 Tuesday lows.
The memory sector did not skipped a beat during that overnight downside. GOOG ER confirmed that CAPX will continue to increase & that is the bull case for names like MU SNDK etc. If that sector stays strong, the NQ stays elevated.
If we break the overnight low at 28922, we continue lower into the 28740. The upside supply that we've discussed continues to reject at 29328/29400. We will really need a break & hold over this channel high for any chance of a broad market rally.
/ES
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
7,570
BULL
Need a reclaim of 7540 at the very least.
BEAR
A fail of the 20DMA that creates a move below PDL. Rejections below PDL could be the best entry.
Clean fail back below the 20DMA on ES & the upside supply between 7540/7530. If you see fails to break back above this upside supply today, I would be interested in the fade back down into channel lows at 7470/7460.
Yesterday, we moved slightly above into the 50DMA & that spot was too heavy. Failing back below the 20DMA is the concern I have.
If you are able to reclaim the 20DMA today, then we'll have to back off the short idea slightly, reclaiming that 7540 could help the ES track back towards the 50DMA & 7570 supply.
/NQ
4h
Support
29,328
29,300
Resistance
28,430
29,160
BULL
I'd like to see us above 29328, without that, you are trading into major previous lows.
BEAR
Clear fails at 29160 today would be the trigger for me to look short. That is a fail back below the major previous lows.
I think we need to remember our original trade idea & our original A+ setup... it was the pop & fade into 29160/29300. We have finally pushed higher into that supply & we are seeing the rejections start to come in. This is a major retest of the 4HR/D lows. If we cannot break & hold above 29300/29328 today, we are potentially looking at a bear flag.
If we see rejections off 29160, I would look for the short side to come in today. It is possible we need to trade back to that 28740/28780 demand. Below that into the 28430 & finally the 100DMA at 28055. All possible downside targets if we get clear rejections at these previous lows.
I would have to see a strong reclaim of 29328 today to look for any upside continuation.
/ES
30min
Support
7,540
Resistance
7,460
7,540
BULL
Reclaim 7540, long towards the 50DMA & 7570
BEAR
Look for the fade again at 7540, could look for a fade at the 7570 if we over extend today. Below 7460 is where the real fun & games start.
Same levels as yesterday. Perfect level to level trading. Opportunities off both sides. Today, we are up against the same supply high & the 20DMA. I would need a break & hold over 7540 for any interest to the upside. That would also be a reclaim above the 20DMA.
If we can reclaim the 7540, we should attempt for the 7570 supply above & the 50DMA. Look for the potential rejections at 7540 again.
We continue to get held up by the FOMC low 7470, major spot. Let's see how that holds through the upcoming earnings season.
/NQ
30min
Support
28,780
28,740
Resistance
28,740
29,294
BULL
Reclaim the 29294/29300 level. If we can hold above, we run into the 20DMA.
BEAR
Best fade is now below the 28740 level.
All levels remain the same from yesterday. Our theis coming into yesterday was great, market did what we expected.
We can see the strong holds at the 28740/28780 demand. Important spot to watch today. If we maintain, we likely hold higher into major ER tomorrow. Below 28740, we continue the breakdown. We will need to break 29294 for any upside interest from me today. Too much potential rejection in this supply to be interested until strong reclaims.
/ES
1HR
Support
7,540
7,470
Resistance
7,400
7,460
BULL
I would need to see a hold above 7540 & the 20DMA for any interest in upside today. You could look for a reversal long of 7470.
BEAR
I like the lower high rejections at the 20DMA today between 7540/7530. Under 7460, it gets more aggressive into 7400.
The 20DMA is the major spot today once again. If we turn that 7540/7530 & 20DMA into a lower high rejection, we are headed back into the 7470 demand. Under 7460, we should see a downside move into the 7400.
That 7470/7460 demand is major, FOMC lows, seems the ES is defending that spot for now. If that continues to hold & we reclaim the 20DMA & 7540, we likely move higher on the ES into 7570 & 50DMA.
Remember, the ES has heaily out performed the NQ, could see more ability to maintain.
/NQ
4h
Support
from chart
Resistance
28,430
28,741
BULL
You need a reclaim of 29294 for real bullish reclaiming action.
BEAR
Look for the pop & fade into 29160/29294. Below 28741, we continue lower again.
As of now, NQ is trying to maintain a major daily double bottom between 28430/28479. If we are holding that low, we have to be cautious of some bounce/retracement today. I would really like to see the NQ trade higher into 29160/29294 for lower high rejections.
This 29294/29160 was the major channel low. If we now turn that into lower highs on a bear flag, I like that as our fade spot. If we reclaim 29294, then we head back towards the 20DMA.
A fail below the 28741 today would drive price lower into the 28430/28479 once again. Below that, we are right into the 100DMA.
/ES
1HR
Support
7,400
Resistance
7,472
7,570
BULL
You need to see a reclaim of 7530 & the 20DMA before any longs here. Either that or a deeper dip into 7472 for longs.
BEAR
Look for the pop & fade at the 20DMA 7530, that is the level that must reject for the pop & fade trade back into the 7472.
Look for the ES to reclaim or reject the 20DMA today... I believe that is your cleanest read for the next direction here.
If we can get back above the 20DMA, we should trade higher back into the 7570 & 50DMA. Remember, ES is heavily out performing & there is really nothing bearish about this chart... Something to watch today.
If we see massive rejections at that 20DMA, then we are starting to see a potential lower high build & that could be something to track closely. Rejections at the 7530 & 20DMA likely bring us back lower into the FOMC lows at 7472/7462. A break over that low brings us back to the 7400 demand.
/NQ
1HR
Support
28,480
28,430
Resistance
28,430
28,480
BULL
Hard to be looking for upside today unless you are trading scalp longs on reclaims of the previous lows. Scalp long on a reclaim of 28779 or 28957.
BEAR
Look for the retest rejections of major previous lows. Most convincing would be back at the 29176/29300 supply retest.
The lower high at 29685/29758 was a beauty pre market yesterday. Those 20/50DMA rejections kept this NQ heavy alongside the SMH weakness, we finally got somewhat of a continuation below the range.
Today, we look to see if some of the previous major lows turn into rejections or if we do some reclaiming. I would watch the previous major double bottom low here at 28779/28741. If that turns into a fail today, you could see continuation towards 28480/28430 demand. Below 28430, we trade into the 100DMA at 28000.
If we reclaim the 28779, we have a small bounce into the 28900/28950 lows. Another spot for a potential retest rejection play. If we are able to reclaim that 28950, we retest the 29176 lows.
At one of these previous lows, I anticipate a lower high rejection & for us to roll over again. Ultimate target is very possibly that 100DMA below.
/ES
15min
Support
7,628
7,568
Resistance
7,564
7,568
BULL
I would like to see a hold over 7628 for upside into the 7650. Pullback demands at 7592 & 7560, look for both to be scalp longs.
BEAR
Below 7592, you likely get some downside scalp action towards the 7564. If you're looking to short, I'd focus on NQ.
A totally different market to the NQ... SMH is the main driver of any weakness, the ES doesn't get dragged down as much on SMH weakness. Let's continue to focus on the divergence each day, it has definitely added an extra layer of caution to our trading days.
Look for the higher low to stick at our key demand 7592/7595. If we maintain that, ES can stay strong. If we fail below, we trade lower into the 7568/7564 demand like yesterday, perfect levels by the way!
Upside supply stays heavy into our 7628, if we can flip above, we can run towards 7650. If we fail below the 7564, watch the 20/50DMA below for support.
/NQ
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
20.00
29,160
BULL
I would look for a move lower into the 29160/29328. Look for the potential of some sweeps down at the major lows for sharp reversals. That or a reclaim above the 30077.
BEAR
Pop & fade at the 29758 would be the top watch or a tad higher into the 20/50DMA. Under 29160, momentum picks up heavy.
Leaning on the bearish side today due to this lower high rejection we are seeing on NQ. If that rejection sticks, we are starting to create that bearish lower high structure. We continue to trade below the 20/50DMA as well.
The demand lows are going to be crucial to watch today. If we move lower into the 29328/29160, we have to be very aware of the price action. Bulls will need to defend this zone. If we break the 29160, that could really start the momentum on the downside. Target would be the 28909.
Look for the pop & fade into the 29758/29685 today. If we actually reclaim that 29758, watch for the 20/50DMA rejections again.
I would find it hard to be bullish on NQ unless we get above those daily moving averages. We saw yesterday how important the SMH is to the NQ. If SMH stays weak, so does the NQ.
/ES
1HR
Support
7,613
7,568
Resistance
7,564
7,568
BULL
Need that break & hold over 7613 for a true upside continuation towards 7636/7648. Pullback needs to hold at 7564/7568, you can look to long a bounce off that level.
BEAR
Potential fades at the 7613 today, clear channel high. Need to see some fails come in first. Target would be down into 7568/7564.
Here we are again at the channel high on ES. This will be a major test. If we cannot break over the 7613 supply today, we have to be open to the channel high supply fade.
The higher low held nicely at the 7564/7568, that held is what caused this upside slide towards the channel high. If we reject the channel high today, that is definitely the level the bulls need to see hold tight. Under 7564, you trade back to the 20/50DMA below it.
If we are able to breakout today above 7613, you likely trade back into 7636/7650.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,077
Resistance
29,685
30,263
BULL
Huge day for the bulls, we need to see a break & hold over 30077 for the upside continuation look. You'd want to see that 20/50DMA start to hold.
BEAR
Potential fade trade off channel high supply. If we see rejections below the 20/50DMA & that 30077, we likely fade back into the 29685/29716.
The higher low we wanted to see stick held nicely. 29685/29716 is the new level we need to see hold if we want any chance of breaking this channel high. We need to create a higher low within the channel.
Today, we are right up into the major supply high. We will need to see a break & hold over 30077 for upside continuation. It will be a battle up here at supply. We also have the 20/50DMA sitting right next to price. Over 30077, we should see a breakout move towards the 30263/30337.
If we see heavy rejections at the 20/50DMA, we will fade back to the center of the channel at our key 29685/29716. If we break below that 29685, we will fade right back to the channel lows.
/ES
30min
Support
7,613
7,575
Resistance
7,472
7,520
BULL
Reclaim long above 7575 is there today. Target would be the 7600 supply. Pullback longs at the 20/50DMA are something to be monitoring today.
BEAR
Potential fades at the 7568/7575 supply. Below 7520, nice downside look towards 7472.
The 20/50DMA holding up nicely! This is a key spot heading into CPI today. If the ES can maintain these moving averages & this be the spot we see buyers step in, I still convinced this market pullback is creating opportunity.
If we are able to reclaim the 7575 rejection, we should see a move back into the 7602/7613 supply today. Above 7613, we would rally into the 7650 supply above.
If we see fails at the 7575 cautious of a move back into the moving averages below. Losing the 7520 demand would create the real downside move towards 7472 & the FOMC low.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,077
29,923
Resistance
28,780
29,160
BULL
Pullback long at the 29160/29328, Over 30000/30077 for a true channel break.
BEAR
You can look for the fades at 29923/30077. This is also the 20/50DMA. Below 29160, should be easy downside.
Once again we fade from the channel high to channel low. The balanced range continues to stay valid & it continues to prove to us that the only trades worth taking are at the major inflection points. Not a bad long on NQ off our 29328 demand.
Today, it looks like we'll open right in the center point of the range once again, not providing the best opportunities here. We do have CPI in the pre market at 8:30 so hopefully that pushes us back to a key inflection point.
I would look for pullback longs at the demand lows between 29328/29160 or lower at the 28780/28720. The level we need to break is pretty clear above. Over 30000/30077, we can rally higher. That is also the 20/50DMA, we need to get above those moving averages. Above that, we rally into the 30337 & possibly a true breakout towards 30900 again.
If we fail the 29160 today, we see aggressive selling into the 28780.
Single Stocks (27)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 1h | 198 / 200 | 206 | Reclaim 206.33 = run to 50DMA. Reject = stuck. Love drop into 198/200 for longs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 1h | 387 / 390 / 379 | 20 / 100 | Watch 387/390 demand. Fail 387 → 379. Need 20/100DMA reclaim. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 30min | 311 / 312 | 317 | Hold Friday lows 311.85/312.17. Above 317.40 = continuation long. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 1h | 374 / 375 | 20 | Failing into 20DMA. Maintain or reject? Fail 20DMA → 374/375. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 4h | 640 / 625 | 200 | Pullback we've been looking for. 200DMA retest. Fail 640 → longs at 625. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | Daily | 350 | 20 | Waiting for real reaction off 350 demand. Need 20DMA reclaim before action. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PLTR | 1h | 124 / 125 / 119 / 118 | 20 | Pre-mkt drop back into 20DMA & 124/125 demand. Fail this low → 119/118 quickly. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1h | 530 | 563 | Higher low at 20DMA inside channel. Holds 530 demand. Break over 563 → start of move. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AVGO | 1h | 381 / 376 | 391 | 20DMA pullback. Reclaim 391 = continuation. Fail 381 → 100DMA at 376. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 4h | — | 314 / 317 | Big lows. Long term shares/swings. Reclaim 50DMA + 314/317 supply = interest. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 1h | — | — | Holding major demand. Trap below yesterday adding fuel. Reclaim Friday low + 50DMA → re-entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 30min | 950 / 959 | 977 / 990 | 50DMA holding strong. Higher low above 950/959 important for upside. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 30min | 1693 / 1720 | — | Same setup as MU. Maintain 1693/1720 intra-day + hold 50DMA → love this reclaim. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 4h | 220 / 230 | — | IBM ER this morning without warning. Dropping heavy, causing IGV weakness. Demand 220/230. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRM | 4h | — | — | IBM ER driving software lower. 20DMA step up on CRM today. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PANW | 4h | 322 / 324 | — | Pullback to 20DMA. Looking for higher lows above 322/324 today. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 4h | 106 / 109 | — | Maintain 106/109 demand zone. 20DMA below. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 1h | 200 / 207 | 230 | Track demand at 200/207. Need flip above 230 for interest. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CAT | 4h | — | — | Love the CAT retest. Patience game. 50DMA holding. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GLW | 4h | 170 | 172 / 177 | GLW 172/177 retest. Set alerts, wait for break or pick up at 170 demand. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 4h | 54 / 57 | — | Strong hold of 54/57 demand. Promising reactions. Need 50DMA bounce continue. Remain long. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 1h | 90 / 91 / 89 / 88 | — | Let's see how software holds at 90/91 demand & 20DMA. Fail 20DMA → 89/88. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 1h | 578 / 582 / 563 | 621 | Holding key low for inverse H/S. 578/582 demand held. Maintain 50DMA → push off demand. Fail 578 → 563. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 1h | 290 / 291 | — | Holding above demand lows 290/291. 20DMA rejections. Watch 50DMA catching up. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| XLV | 1h | 160 | 162 | Healthcare maintaining 160 demand. Look for reclaim of 162.27 for upside. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CL | Daily | 75.69 | 82.37 / 83.45 | CL reclaimed 75.69 demand. Heading to major daily lows & 100DMA at 82.37/83.45. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1h | 3960 | 4042 / 4054 | Retest rejection at 4042/4054. Fade from previous lows → 3960. Reclaim 4054 → 20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
4h
Support
7,602
Resistance
20.00
7,650
BULL
Look for the hold over 7602.50 for the continuation move towards 7650. Pullback long potentially at the 20/50DMA.
BEAR
You could look for the fade up at this 7600 spot... will have to be very aware of price action & see clear fails before attempting it.
A hold above 7602.50 gives us the runway for upside today towards 7650. This is the level I want to see turn into support to trust the upside. As of now, we are still trading right into the two major rejection points in June. This is something to be aware of.
If we reject this channel high, we likely see the ES trade back down towards the center point of the range & back into the 20/50DMA.
That 20/50DMA held strong yesterday & was likely the reason we found support & grinded higher. Important that we are trading above those DMA's once again.
/NQ
30min
Support
30,000
29,735
Resistance
29,328
29,685
BULL
Look for the hold above 29685/29735 demand. Holds over 30000 & the 20DMA is a clean spot for new longs towards 30217.
BEAR
Look for a rejection below 29685 for downside.
It looks like you are trying to create a higher low today above the Tuesday high between 29685/29735. This is also the overnight low from Sunday open. This would be a nice spot to pivot & hold above for more upside.
We still have the 50 & 20DMA above to be cautious of. That psych 30,000 level is also a clean spot to monitor. If we can reclaim the 30,000 level & the 20DMA, we should be good for an upside squeeze into 30217/30337.
If we fail back below that 29685, we likely give up yesterday's grind back towards the 29328 demand.
/ES
1HR
Support
7,472
7,462
Resistance
7,330
7,415
BULL
I would need to see a strong short trap at the 7462/7472 demand for any interest in reversal trades. Lower at 7400 may get more interesting.
BEAR
Look for the rejections of this 7462/7472 demand. If we see clean fails here, I would expect the 7404/7415 demand.
Big low here on the ES between 7462/7472, if we lose this, we likely trade down into the 7415/7400. That would be a nice fade to look for.
I would expect some fight from the bulls at this 7472/7462 so cautious of traps. If we end up holding 7462/7472, we likely just trade back into the center point of the range around that 20/50DMA on ES.
If we do start to see the downside pressure below 7462, we could need that double bottom low down towards 7330/7350. We would get there if we see fails below the 7400 demand.
/NQ
4h
Support
29,328
29,160
Resistance
from chart
BULL
Potential extreme low at 28720 you could look for sharp recoveries off of. I would prefer a reclaim above 29328 for the move back into the center point of the channel. The reclaim of 29160 could create some volatility to the upside as well.
BEAR
Rejection of the 29,160.5–29,328.5 supply takes us back to 28,720.5. Below 28,720, aggressive downside into 28,480. Lose that and you see real breakdown.
We stayed within the NTZ all week & finally found ourselves outside of the channel this morning. More drama over in Iran, cease fire seems to be falling apart. Likely a panic opportunity in my mind, we'll see how it all unfolds.
I would be watching the lows at 28780/28720 for potential holds. If we support that low, we could see the NQ trade back into the 29160/29328 supply. That will be where we look for the potential pop & fade. As long as we're below the 29328, I believe you could see rejections.
Below 28720, we fail into the 28480/28430. If we reclaim the 29328, we would trade right back within the channel. Likely back into the 20/50DMA.
/ES
1HR
Support
7,600
Resistance
7,636
7,650
BULL
I would want a strong hold over 7600 today for upside towards 7636/7650. Pullback longs at the 7500 & 20/50DMA.
BEAR
I would look for the 7600 fade or you will need a break below FOMC low at 7472.
Visable out performance on ES vs NQ due to SMH weakness. Let's focus on the strong names, definitely a better opportunity right now.
If we can hold over 7600, we continue towards the 7636/7650 supply above, could be a nice opportunity. Over that, into the 7680.
Very possible to see the ES fade this 7600 level again today. We are at an extreme & within the channel we should be looking for rejections of this high. Let's stay open to that possibility today.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,337
Resistance
28,780
29,160
BULL
Pullback to the 29160/29328 for a potential pullback long. Lower at the 28780. Holds over 30337 for breakout potential.
BEAR
Below 29160, I like downside into the 28780. Pop & fade at the 30217/30337
We continue to stay pinned inside this NTZ on NQ. I really don't enjoy any price action within & I would be cautious getting involved inside the middle. The trade right now is software out performance or SMH weakness. Focusing on the equity moves definitely looks like a better opportunity.
Unless the NQ gets to one of our major supply/demand zones, I would not be interested in any action here.
We need to allow the market to show the next direction, right now its balanced.
SPY
4H
Support
740
747
750
Resistance
755
756
760
QQQ
1H
Support
705
694
688
686
Resistance
728
731
736
737
Single Stocks (28)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 4H | 389 / 400 | 412 / 414 / 433 / 438 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PANW | 1HR | 340 | 357 / 358 / 368 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PLTR | 1HR | 130 | 136 / 137 / 140 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 1HR | 381 / 383 | 394 / 396 / 400 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 4HR | 302 / 303 | 315 / 317 / 317 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 1HR | 360 / 361 | 373 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 4H | 592 / 594 | 629 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 1HR | 185 / 190 | 198 / 200 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1HR | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 4H | 1513 / 1550 | 1861 / 1895 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 4H | 880 | 977 / 990 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4H | 103 / 104 / 114 / 117 | 125 / 126 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 1H | 109 / 110 | 120 / 125 / 130 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| LLY | 4H | 252 / 255 | 1280 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| UNH | 4H | — | 430 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| APP | 4H | — | 567 / 576 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 4H | 290 / 294 / 301 / 303 | 310 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DDOG | 4HR | 252 / 255 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 4H | 560 / 577 | 613 / 621 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | Daily | 222 / 225 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 4H | 45 / 46 / 55 / 56 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSM | 4H | — | 460 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 1HR | 95 | 97 / 97.5 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| XLV | 1HR | 160 / 160 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 4067 / 4131 / 4138 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| YM | 1HR | 53000 / 53100 / 53310 / 53344 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 1H | 300 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 1HR | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
1HR
Support
7,600
7,400
Resistance
7,400
7,415
BULL
Look for the hold over 7600 or a dip into 7472/7500 for longs.
BEAR
Pop & fade at the 7585–7598.25 supply. Under 7472 for downside into 7415/7400.
Same NTZ thesis on ES here. Need a break outside of the channel. If we can get above 7600, look for the continuation move towards 7650. Above that, we should see the ATH move.
If we pop into 7600 also be aware of the channel high rejection, I like that back towards channel lows.
20/50DMA below alongside that 7500 & FOMC low demand. That is clearly the must hold spot. Below 7472, we would see the downside come in towards the 7400 demand.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,337
Resistance
28,780
29,160
BULL
Pullback long at the 29160/29328 or a reclaim above 30337 for upside into 30600.
BEAR
Pop & fade at the 30217/30337. Below 29160 for more downside towards 28780.
I want to stay away from the NTZ between 30337 & 29160. Wide range that we continue to play ping pong between. I am ok trading at the extremes of this channel but staying away from any chop near the center point.
Today, we are between the 50 & 20DMA as well. Need to at least see the outcome of that range. If we trade higher into the 30217/30337, look for the potential fade of that channel high. Over 30337, we can continue to the 30600 highs.
If we reject & move lower into the channel low, potential longs between 29160/29328. If we fail 29160, we continue lower into the 28780.
Remember the tech weakness we saw last week, let's see if that trend continues or switches.
Single Stocks (27)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | 4H | 348 / 350 | 360 / 365 / 370 | LOVE reclaim of 348/350. Longer dated contracts → 370 target. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 4H | 302 / 303 | 308 / 315 | LOVE reclaim over 302.20/303.20. Pullback long → ATH. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| UNH | 1HR | 422 / 423 | 430 / 436 | Holding exact spot 422/423.50. Long setup into 430. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | Daily | 109 / 110 | 120 / 123 | Pushed into supply 120/123. Pullback hold 109.53/110 = best entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PLTR | 1HR | 125 | 127 / 137 | Love comeback. Buy shares at 20DMA 125. Over 127 → 137. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| LLY | Daily | — | — | Daily retest could be special. Watch XLV outperformance. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 4H | 580 | 621 / 650 | Retest hold 580 & 50DMA. Reclaim 20DMA & 621 → 650. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 1H | 381 / 383 / 387 | 396 / 400 | Hold over 387 & 20DMA → 396 supply. Over that → 100DMA 400. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 4H | 570 | 600 / 620 | Need hold over 600. Over 600 → 620. 570 & 20DMA = higher low. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 1HR | 387 / 390 | 402 / 403 | Big fail post delivery. Support 387/390. Fades at 402/403.50. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 1H | — | — | Zero interest. Own it, don't trade it. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1HR | — | — | Channel clear. Wait for channel extreme — price action tells the entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 4H | 970 / 990 | 1090 | 970/990 demand holds. Rejecting 20DMA. More comfortable longs above 1090. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 4H | 222 / 225 | 250 | 222/225 = 50DMA + gap fill, very interested. Hold over 250 = strength. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4H | 114 / 117 | 125 | 114/117 retest. 20 & 50DMA here. Fail 114 → 103. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSM | 4H | 420 | 450 | Reclaim 450.37 highs needed. 20DMA support. 420/50DMA ideal long. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| COIN | 4H | — | 174 | Need 174 reclaim for any continuation. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PANW | 30min | 340 / 341 | — | Retest 340/341 ideal next long. Top watch if software finds strength. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 4H | 280 / 282 | 294 / 302 | Hold over 294.50 → 302. Pullback longs 280/282 = best entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 4H | 196 / 200 | — | Monitor holds at 196/200. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 30min | 91 | 93 / 95 | Higher lows at 93. Break over 95 next leg. Pullbacks 91 & 20/50DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 4H | — | 1861 / 1895 | First bearish structure shift. Fades 1861/1895 → 50DMA 1610. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 4H | — | 66 / 67 | Retest rejection 20DMA & 66/67 supply. Not long unless above 20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 1H | 3000 | 3045 | Stuck 3000-3045. Chop range, not exciting. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 4H | — | 300 | Nothing sticks above 300. 20DMA pullback likely. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 4138 / 4154 | 4250 | Retest long setup. 4138/4154 higher low → 20DMA reclaim → 4250. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| APP | 1HR | — | — | Exact retest wanted to get long APP. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
1HR
Support
7,490
20.00
Resistance
7,400
7,490
BULL
Look for the holds at 20/50DMA. Over 7600 is the true breakout.
BEAR
Potential fades at the 7600 if we get there. Break under 7490 likely sparks selling pressure. Under FOMC low, real breakdown.
We pushed into a major supply yesterday & saw the rejection come in. That 7585/7600 is going to be no joke above. Really interesting out performance on ES yesterday, definitely one of the largest divergences I've seen in quite some time on the markets.
Today, we are still trading north of the 20DMA & 50DMA. Still great pullback spots technically, just hard to trust anything meaningful will occur off that today. We shall see. Below the 7490 demand, we would trade back to FOMC lows.
Losing FOMC low would spark the aggressive selling back towards 7400.
/NQ
1HR
Support
29,923
29,763
Resistance
29,264
30,217
BULL
Would need a reclaim of the 30295 supply for a move into 30600.
BEAR
Look for pop & fades into 30217/30295. Below 50DMA we move aggressively lower.
All day melt lower yesterday due to SMH weakness, far from what I expected heading into the day. We turned the 4HR supply into rejections again between 30217/30295. Below that, the selling pressure could come back into this market. We will have to see how the SMH trades today.
We are trading lower into key demand between 29763/29923. Would be the spot bulls need to step up. If we lose that 29763, we likely see the 50DMA test. Below that, back into the 29264 lows.
Overall, NQ sideways when we look macro here. Hasn't been easy inside this range. Will be pretty hands off today.
SPY
1HR
Support
743
740
Resistance
750
754
Consolidation above 743 & below 750 supply. Channel trade. Over 750 → 754. Below 743 → 20DMA/740 demand.
QQQ
1HR
Support
720
722
712
Resistance
730
Back at 20DMA & 720/722 demand. Hold → 730 supply. Fail under 720 → 712 demand.
Single Stocks (27)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOOD | Daily | 113 / 110 | 120 / 123 | One of the cleanest comebacks. Back over 200DMA. Flip over 113.44 → 120/123 highs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PLTR | 4HR | 125 | 130 / 137 | Buying PLTR dip paying off. Holds over 125 = major. Upside toward 137 & 50DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 4HR | 348 / 350 | 358 / 365 | Top watch for swing trade longs. Love reclaim over 4HR highs at 348/350. A+ setup. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 1HR | 381 / 383 | 396 | Higher lows above 381/383. Clean structure. Reclaim 20DMA → run to 396. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 4HR | 596 / 600 | 620 | Proper retest of 596/600 would be ideal for longs — into next week. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 1HR | 288 | 302 | Back within chop range. Higher lows above 20 & 50DMA. Best long above 302 or back at 288. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 4HR | 414 / 427 | 427 / 450 | Pullback to 200DMA or 414.50 = long. Maintain over 427.80 → 450 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 1HR | 192 / 198 | 200 / 204 | Nothing until NVDA reclaims 200. Below that = lower high bearish structure. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1HR | 505 | 520 / 525 | Only interesting at 505 demand low. Long on over extension to downside. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 4HR | 991 / 977 / 900 | 1090 | See if lows pre-ER hold at 991/977. Fail below = not much until 900. Below 20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 4HR | 1825 / 1861 | 2100 | Very wide range. See how 20DMA steps up. Interested in longs at 1825/1861 previous highs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSM | 4HR | 420 | 450 | Another opportunity to pick up off 420 demand. Reject 450 = stays weak. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4HR | 114 / 115 | 130 / 145 | Deeper pullback toward 114/115 for longs. 145 high heavy. SMH showing weakness. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 4HR | 606 / 580 / 577 | 625 | Lose 606 demand → serious selloff to 580/577 (50DMA). Hands off today. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 4HR | 55 / 56 | 68 | Drip to continue until 50DMA at 56/55 demand unless reclaim 20DMA at 68. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 4HR | — | — | Too much sideways to have much interest here. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 4HR | 280 / 282 | 295 | Retest of 280/282 could be incredible today. Move back into 295 supply highs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| COIN | 4HR | — | — | Some spark in Crypto this morning. Let's start tracking it. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| APP | 4HR | 520 / 525 | 550 | Pullback long at 520/525 & 200DMA will be best entry to wait for. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 4HR | — | — | Look to pick up off 200 demand. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DDOG | 4HR | 252 / 255 | 270 | Pullback long at 252/255 would be the ideal entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 1HR | 91 / 93 | 95 | Strong outperformance! Hold 93. Pullback to 91 & 20/50DMA would be awesome. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GLW | 4HR | 208 / 211 | 220 | Retest always happens. See if buyers step in 208/211. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| UNH | 1HR | 422 / 423 | 440 | Perfect retest. Today look for higher low above 422/423.50. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 4050 / 4067 | 4150 | Potential reclaim above 4050/4067. Major demand lows hold. Selling at 4150 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 1HR | 3000 | 3040 / 3045 | Need daily close above 3040/3045 to trust continuation. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 1HR | 295 | 300 | Still can't retain move above 300. Need a day that closes above. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
7,472
7,513
BULL
Look for the pullback longs to develop between 7513/7517. Deeper at the 7490 is good as well.
BEAR
I would only look short if we fail below 7472
The pre market highs were very key yesterday at 7513/7517, we held those highs twice intra-day before getting strong continuation. This morning, we are bouncing off them once again. This will be key spot alongside the 20DMA.
If we drop below 7513, I like that 50DMA below as well at 7490/7500, another nice spot to pick this long up.
I really dont like the shorts here if we are trading north of the FOMC low at 7472. I would want to see us fail back below that before any attempts to the downside. Target here looks to be the 7585/7600 supply.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,337
30,263
Resistance
29,923
30,263
BULL
Look for the pullback long to develop between 30263/30337, this is the best spot of the day. Above PDH, we run into 30915.
BEAR
I would only look short on a fail below 30263 for a play into the 20DMA or possibly the 29923.
Very important day here! We are pulling back into the major pivot & the question is... do we turn this 30263/30337 demand into a higher low again today. If we establish a strong higher low here today, I would be much more confident for upside continuation.
If we fail back below the 30263, we likely need a pullback to the 20DMA at the least. Possibly back into the 29923 FOMC low.
Holds above 30263/30337 bring us back into the 30584/30613 supply. Some 4HR candle highs there. Above that, we run into the 30915.
Single Stocks (27)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWD | 4h | 756 / 760 | 800 | Looks fantastic for ATH at 800. Hold over 756/760 = going higher. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 1h | 2147 / 2167 | — | Possibly the best setup of the day. Perfect reclaim long thesis above 2147/2167. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSM | 1h | 465 / 470 | 479 | Hold over 465/470 = going higher. Over 479, blue skies. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 4h | 414 | 424 / 427 / 445 | Hold above 414.50, continue rally. Over 200DMA = 424/427. Above 427.80 = 445. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| PLTR | 1h | 114 / 115 | 125 / 126 | Higher lows forming at 114/115. Target 125/126. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 1h | 196 / 197 | — | Reclaim above 100DMA & 196/197. Inverse H&S forming. Bouncing off 200DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1h | 550 / 563 | — | Wide retest zone 550/563. May need a day to pinpoint higher low. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 1h | 570 / 571 | 578 | Major demand low holding. Flip above 570/571 = breakout into 20DMA at 578. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 1h | 348 / 350 | 356 | Favorite comeback name. Higher low above 348/350. Wait for 20DMA reclaim at 356.61. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 1h | — | 305 / 330 | Higher low above 20DMA. Over 305 = games begin into 330. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4h | 132 / 135 | 142 / 144 | Finally got our move! Higher low above 132.61/135. Target ATH 142/144.39. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 4h | 1080 / 1090 | 1255 | Higher low at previous 4HR highs between 1080/1090. Let 20DMA catch up. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 4h | 287 / 288 | — | Higher low between 287/288. Impressive reclaim. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MSFT | 4h | 344 / 350 | — | Great buying opportunity at weekly demand 344/350. Slow but lucrative. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DDOG | 4h | 252 / 255 | — | Strong day over 240. Higher low between 252/255. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 4h | 282 | 290 | Turn 282 into support = move to 290.50. 200 & 20DMA holding. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 1h | 97 / 98 | 103 | 200DMA heavy. Need flip above 103.50. Pullback long 97/98. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 1h | 272 / 275 | 295 / 300 | Higher low above 272/275. Target 295/300 highs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| WDC | 1h | 602 / 612 | — | Watch pullback long at 20DMA & 602/612. Potential higher low above last Wed lows. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 1h | — | — | Need ARM to reclaim 20DMA before getting interested. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AVGO | 1h | — | — | Waiting for real catalyst at 100/200DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IGV | 4h | 89 / 92 | — | Perfect higher low at 89. Reclaim 20DMA & 92 = software bounce. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 4h | 639 / 642 | — | Building 4HR flag. Higher low at previous ATH 639.25/642.76 = very aggressive. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RKLB | 1h | 98 / 99 | — | Higher low above 98/99 for RKLB to find strength. Recent strength with SPCX ASTS. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SPCX | 4h | 165 / 166 | 177 | Building structure. Higher low above 165/166. Above 177.40 = rally from 150 lows. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| UNH | 4h | 413 / 416 | — | 4HR retest holds at 413/416. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GLW | 1h | 230 / 232 | — | Favorite retest. Need a little lower into 230/232. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
1HR
Support
7,512
7,491
Resistance
7,491
7,512
/NQ
1HR
Support
29,923
29,763
Resistance
29,923
28,780
SPY
1HR
Support
732
734
Resistance
739
740
743
QQQ
30min
Support
710
712
719
Resistance
721
730
Single Stocks (26)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 4H | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 1HR | 1116 / 1131 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRWD | 4H | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 30min | 368 / 376 / 379 | 384 / 385 / 390 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1HR | 500 | 533 / 555 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4H | 125 / 126 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 1HR | 600 | 626 / 640 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 30min | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 1HR | 273 / 274 | 287 / 288 / 300 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| UNH | 1HR | — | 436 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| WDC | 1HR | 564 / 572 | 612 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 30min | 2054 / 2073 | 2147 / 2167 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 1HR | 323 / 332 | 363 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 3960 | 4040 / 4046 / 4140 | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| YM | 4H | 51800 | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 4H | 3000 / 2990 | 3045 | |
|
No chart available
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| IWM | 4H | — | 300 | |
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| NOW | 4H | — | 95 / 97 | |
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| DDOG | 4H | — | — | |
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| IGV | 1HR | 88 / 89 | — | |
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No chart available
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| MSFT | Wk | — | — | |
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|
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| AVGO | 1H | — | — | |
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No chart available
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| DRAM | 4H | — | — | |
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|
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| HOOD | 1HR | — | — | |
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| NBIS | 30min | — | — | |
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| PLTR | D | 105 / 107 | 123 / 125 | |
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/ES
30min
Support
7,354
7,330
Resistance
7,300
7,330
BULL
I would need a reclaim of 7409/7421 supply. Target would be up into the 50DMA at 7480/7500
BEAR
Pop & fade at the 7409/7421 supply. Break below 7330 gives you a quick move towards 7300.
Downside structure has been clear here on ES. Break & retest rejections week over week. Today, we see the Tues/Wed lows turning into rejections in the pre market. I would look for that 7409/7420 to turn into a fade spot today.
If we reclaim the 7421 supply, we will trade back within the range towards 7500 supply highs.
Downside demand between 7330/7354 is a major zone, big daily lows. Will be cautious shorting into that zone, if I am going to play short I need a pop into supply first.
/NQ
15min
Support
29,331
29,250
Resistance
29,090
29,250
BULL
The demand lows at 29250/29331 could become a strong bounce spot. Reclaim the 29577 would be ideal for upside towards the 29923.
BEAR
Pop & fade the 29525/29577 supply. Break below 29250 for downside into 29090.
Big test today down at the Wed/Thur lows... the question will be, do we make new lows on the week? If we fail the 29250 level, we are likely to see more aggressive selling down into the 29090/29054 demand.
If we see this 29250/29331 demand hold tight again, we likely trade within the range up towards 29577 supply. Another tight range developing, making intra-day trading a little more tricky.
If we can reclaim the 29577, we can get a more aggressive continuation move towards the 29923 supply from yesterday.
We HAVE to approach this market with more patience & caution, ranges are tight but volatility is high! Quick knee jerk reactions continue to occur creating more aggressive trading conditions.
SPY
1HR
Support
732
734
722
725
Resistance
739
BULL
Reclaim 733.50 + 50DMA → 739 FOMC low
BEAR
Continue rejecting 732/733.50 → 722.50/725
Retest rejection showing below Tues/Wed lows. Failing below 50DMA. If 732/733.50 continues to reject, we see downside pressure. Target lows between 722.50/725. Only way we get upside is reclaim above 733.50 & 50DMA.
QQQ
15min
Support
704
705
696
694
Resistance
710
712
720
BULL
704/705 holds → 710/712, reclaim 712 → 720
BEAR
Fail 704/705 → 696/694
Wed/Thur lows at 704/705... big spot today. Do we fail below that demand low & the 50DMA or does that defend? If maintain that low, we trade up towards 710/712 supply. That will then become the fade spot. If able to reclaim 712, we trade higher into 720 rejections. Below 50DMA, next demand is down at 696/694.
Single Stocks (25)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▾TTWO | 4HR | 233 / 231 | — | 200DMA retest between 231/233 demand. A nice spot! Yesterday, GTA did over 3 billion in pre order sales on the first day. Interested to see if there is any move here. I bought shares Monday of this week. |
|
||||
| TSLA | 15min | 368 / 364 | 372 / 373 / 378 | Very clean downside structure on TSLA this week. Intra-day choppy with overnight making majority of moves. Today, look for a fade between the 372/373 supply to continue lower. We are into the demand target at 368/364, cautious of this demand holding today. If we reclaim 373, trade back into upper channel towards 378. |
|
No chart available
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| NVDA | 15min | 192 | 194 | 200DMA below on NVDA, what a major spot. Look to see if we fail this 194.50 supply today. Rejections there keep us lower. If we can reclaim 194.50, we can attempt back into the 100DMA. |
|
No chart available
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| AAPL | 4h | 100.0 | 287 / 288 | 20DMA rejection got smacked. Big break below 287 demand into 100DMA. If we get a relief rally, I like looking for the rejection play at 287/288 again. |
|
No chart available
|
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| ARM | 1HR | 323 / 300 | 363 | Fail below 363 for downside yesterday. Today, must hold demand at 323. If we break below, we could see this accelerate towards the 300 demand. |
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No chart available
|
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| AMD | 1h | 500 / 505 | 530 | 500/505 demand again on AMD. 20DMA right below, will we defend it. Fails below 500 likely causes selling pressure. 530 pop & fade is a trade opportunity. |
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No chart available
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| AVGO | 4h | 352 / 354 / 369 | — | If we fail 369.50 demand & the 100DMA, we could be looking for the 200DMA below. Below that, we have the 352/354 demand from major 4HR highs. |
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No chart available
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| TSM | 1h | 405 / 407 | 430 / 433 | If we continue to fail the 430/433 today, I like downside towards the 405/407 demand. This is a clean fail below the 20DMA. |
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No chart available
|
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| INTC | 4h | 125 / 126 | — | INTC trying its best to outperform this market. Let's see if we hold the 125/126 demand today. Fail there & we trade into the 20DMA below. |
|
No chart available
|
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| MSFT | Wk | — | — | Massive weekly low on MSFT today! Let's see how price starts to develop down here. |
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No chart available
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| SNDK | 1h | 2050 / 2150 | — | Pullback holding at the 2150 retest. Let's see if that sticks today. Just trading in a range up at ATH. If we fail 2150, we trade into 2050 demand. |
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No chart available
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| MU | 1h | 1100 / 1125 / 1130 | 1255 | Not a terrible pullback on MU, very much still in heavy structure. Look to see if we hold previous highs between 1125/1130. Holds there, keep this higher. If we fail, down into 1100 demand. 20DMA pullbacks would occur under 1090. |
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No chart available
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| WDC | 1HR | 646 / 650 | 730 | Holding a key 646/650 demand zone. 20DMA still below. Upside supply at 730 will be tough to break. |
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No chart available
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| UNH | 1h | — | 424 | Nice UNH strength vs market. I love this retest, another quality look today for a target of 424. |
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No chart available
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| GOOG | 1h | — | 343 / 344 | Look for the pop & fade at 343/344 on GOOG. Would be a clean spot to reject previous lows. 100DMA below likely defends for today. |
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No chart available
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| HOOD | 4h | 94.4 | 93.0 / 94.0 | If we retest & fail the 93/94 supply here, I like downside. This would also be a rejection of the 20DMA. If we reclaim 20DMA & 94.40, then we see a relief bounce. |
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No chart available
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| NBIS | 1h | 240 | — | Right into our 240 demand & 20DMA. Could be a nice spot for NBIS to find strength again. |
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No chart available
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| GLW | 4h | 208 / 211 | — | Probably one of the only interesting setups of the day... good retest on the 4HR of previous highs at 208/211. This looks quality today. |
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No chart available
|
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| IWM | 4h | 291 / 293 | 300 | Still a major out performance on small caps. Pullbacks still look like bullish opportunities. Wouldn't mind seeing down into 20DMA & 291/293 demand. 300 supply seems to be the tough spot. |
|
No chart available
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| RTY | 4h | 2990 / 3000 / 2950 | 3040 | 3040 supply rejecting for now. Look for 2990/3000 zone to hold strong. Fail 2990 = trade into 20DMA & next demand at 2950. |
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No chart available
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| SMH | 1h | 600 / 613 | 640 | Here we are again at the 20DMA. If we fail the 613.69 level, we could see the next downside move towards 600 demand. If we hold, likely to see us trade within this channel towards 640 supply. |
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No chart available
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| GC | 1HR | 4040 / 4046 | 4072 | GC reclaiming previous lows at 4040/4046. Need to reclaim 4072 supply to continue relief bounce. If we fail 4072, pop & fade back into 4040 demand. |
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No chart available
|
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| DRAM | 1h | — | — | Wild range between previous ATH at 68/70 & new ATH at 81. Not loving much between that zone. |
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No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 1HR | — | — | 50 & 100DMA below. Big spot for IBM. Not too interested as we've been stuck in a range here. |
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No chart available
|
||||
| YM | 4h | 51822 | — | Upside supply staying heavy on YM. I like a pullback into the 20DMA at 51822 for re-entry longs. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
1HR
Support
7,421
7,408
Resistance
7,421
7,462
BULL
Pullback long between 7462/7473 or a reclaim of 7512
BEAR
Potential fails at the 7506/7512 supply. Below 7462 for downside to give back the MU ER move.
The 7408 demand sure was pretty, awesome low stepping in there yesterday. Today, we are turning the FOMC low into new support. If that sticks, we should see a move into the 7506/7512. If we can reclaim the 7512, we have another leg higher.
Over 7512, you can see the push towards the 20DMA at 7567. We need to continue to maintain that 7462/7473 & the 50DMA.
Below 7462, we would see a fail back into the previous day range & possibly back into the 7421/7408 demand.
/NQ
1HR
Support
30,337
30,256
Resistance
29,577
29,923
BULL
Pullback long at the 29950/29923 or above the 20DMA.
BEAR
You could look for the fade between 30256/30337. Fail below 29923 gives you nice downside towards the 29577.
Beautiful ripper off the 29250 demand & the 50DMA. MU ER crushes it & memory is back to the orbit. Can't say I'm surprised...
We are now reclaiming the FOMC low at 29923, this was the long thesis from last night. Perfect holds there, should continue to keep this market strong. If we remain above that 29923, we should see the 20DMA get tested up at 30332.
Very possible to see failures up here between 30256/30337. Rejections here would give us a move back into the 29923 or even lower to retest the 29577 demand. We have to be open to the possibility of giving back last nights move on MU ER. Very possible.
If we reclaim the 20DMA at 30337, we should see a more confident rally towards the 30915.
Single Stocks (25)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | — | — | — | |
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No chart available
|
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| WDC | — | — | — | |
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|
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| SNDK | — | — | — | |
|
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|
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| INTC | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
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| TSM | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
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| AMD | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
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| SMH | — | — | — | |
|
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|
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| NVDA | — | — | — | |
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|
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| MRVL | — | — | — | |
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|
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| ARM | — | — | — | |
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|
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| AVGO | — | — | — | |
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|
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| GOOG | — | — | — | |
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|
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| AAPL | — | — | — | |
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|
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| TSLA | — | — | — | |
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|
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| HOOD | — | — | — | |
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|
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| IBM | — | — | — | |
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|
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| GLW | — | — | — | |
|
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|
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| DELL | — | — | — | |
|
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|
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| NBIS | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | — | — | — | |
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No chart available
|
||||
| CRWV | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | — | — | — | |
|
No chart available
|
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| RTY | — | — | — | |
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No chart available
|
||||
| GC | — | — | — | |
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No chart available
|
||||
| SPCX | — | — | — | |
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||||
/ES
1HR
Support
7,421
Resistance
7,350
7,354
BULL
Reclaim ripper long setup over 50DMA & 7472.
BEAR
Retest rejection of PDL for a move towards the 7350 lows.
Clear range between 7472 FOMC low & the 7421 demand. We have a 4HR high at 7408 that is also influencing the hold from yesterday as well.
I would need a break to either side today, open to anything here. Reclaim the 7472 & 50DMA should give us a nice long towards the 7506/7512. Reclaiming that 7512 gives us upside into the 7585.
If we fail below PDL & 7408, you should see downside into the 7354.
/NQ
1HR
Support
from chart
Resistance
29,331
30,256
BULL
Break & hold over FOMC low for a reclaim ripper setup towards the 30256.
BEAR
Retest rejection below the 29577 for downside into the 29331.
Pretty deadful range on NQ here... I will stay far away today if we remain within that channel. I would need to see a reclaim above the FOMC low at 29923 & 29993 for upside into the 30256.
If we fail below the 29577, we should see continuation towards the 50DMA at 29331.
If we remain within this previous day range, I would be very protective today.
/ES
30min
Support
from chart
Resistance
7,350
7,473
BULL
Reclaiming the 7473 would provide a long opportunity back into the 7506/7512. Look for a 50DMA reclaim.
BEAR
If we pop & fade at the 50DMA & 7462/7473, we could be looking for a clean lower high rejection for a move into 7350/7335. Could also look for a fade at the 7506/7512 supply.
Breaking below the FOMC low at 7473/7462. If we pop back into that supply & the 50DMA, look for the potential lower high rejection. Not much demand below here until 7350/7335, could be an aggressive move.
If we reclaim the 7473 & the 50DMA, we will see an ES bounce back into the 7506/7512. That would be another spot to look for the rejectrion of FOMC highs & yesterday PML.
Reclaiming the 7506/7512 would put us right back within previous day range. Let's see how sellers come in as a move higher into supply today.
/NQ
30min
Support
30,337
30,256
Resistance
29,250
29,750
BULL
Potential pullback long off this 29750/29850 demand today. If we can reclaim the FOMC low at 29923, that would be more ideal. Reclaim 20DMA above would be the best bullish situation.
BEAR
I'd like to see a pop & fade at 30256/30337. Below 29750, we fail towards 29250.
Some decent slippage overnight after failing below that 20DMA & 30256. Any bounce into that 30256/30337 is now a potential lower high rejection, definitely something to be watching today.
We are trading lower into demand between 29750/29850. This will be a major spot to watch today. We do have an FOMC Low at 29923 that is reacting this morning, let's see if that turns into a failure point.
Below 29750, we will see downside continuation towards the 29250 & 50DMA demand. That is a top watch for downside if we see an opportunity today.
Single Stocks (25)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | Daily | — | — | If we start to see pressure on markets, WMT could be a good spot to watch off the 200DMA here... |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IBM | 1HR | 252 | 266 | Higher low developing at 100DMA & 252 demand. Reclaim 266.50 for strength. Prefer 20 & 200DMA reclaim above. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SPCX | 1HR | — | — | Major fail at retest level, not much interest, need more information. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 4h | 530 | 553 | If we lose 553.25, we could see the 530 demand today. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 4h | 340 / 330 | 352 | 100DMA & 340 demand. Need reclaim of 352 before upside. Below 100DMA → 330. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 1HR | 288 | 294 | Another fail at 20DMA. Lose 294 → 288. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 1HR | 94.0 | — | If HOOD pops & rejects 200DMA, like the short towards 94 demand. Reclaim 200DMA → 110. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DELL | 1HR | 395 / 399 | 440 / 443 | Took profits at 440/443 supply yesterday. 20DMA at 395/399 demand. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRWV | 4h | 100.0 | 122 | Retiring short-term analysis. Too sloppy 100-122 range. Wait for clear break. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 1h | 260 / 263 / 240 | 277 / 282 | Back into 260/263 demand. Lower at 240 & 20DMA is perfection. Cautious on 277/282 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4h | 125 | 132 / 135 | If INTC rejects P-ATH at 132/135, could see lower prices. Like 125 pullback or 20DMA. Reclaim 135 → strength. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 1HR | 272 / 275 | — | 272/275 demand stepping up. ATH rejections clean. Wait for 20DMA to catch up. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 1HR | 363 | 416 / 421 | 20DMA to step up on ARM. Opportunity back to 363 demand. Rejections at 416/421 clean. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| WDC | 30min | 646 / 656 | 725 / 730 | Fail below retest level. Allow 646/656 demand to step up. Buyers react. Back into 725/730 = watch for reclaim or rejection. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 1h | 1860 / 1950 | 2124 / 2167 | Back below 2124/2167 questionable. Need deeper downside into 1950 or 20DMA at 1860. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 1HR | 1020 / 1090 / 1100 | — | Profit taking pre-ER. Hold over prev ATH 1090/1100 could slow selling. Below 1090 → 1020 demand. ER JUNE 24. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AVGO | 4h | — | — | Happy to have taken profits on AVGO swing into supply. Rejection at 20 & 50DMA clean. Let demand lows & 100/200DMA step up. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 1HR | 499 / 500 | 530 | 20DMA to support AMD at 499/500. Reclaim 530 moves higher. Pop & fade at 530 as well. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 1HR | 198 / 199 | 204 | Big fail back below 20DMA. Likely come down to 198/199 demand lows. Watch 204 today. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 1HR | — | — | Channel trade. Even with strength yesterday, fade the whole thing. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 4070 | 4150 / 4237 | Reclaim 4150 → 4237. Perfect fade at 4237. Fail 4150 → 4070. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| RTY | 1h | 2940 / 2950 | — | Back within channel. 2940/2950 demand with 20DMA. Not much interest inside channel. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 1h | 65.7 / 67.23 / 67.6 | 69.5 | Fail below 69.50 → 67.23/67.60. Fail 67.23 → gap to 65.70 & 20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 1h | 614 / 617 | 640 / 642 | Pop & fade at 640/642 supply today. Stay below = weak. Reclaim 642.76 → 652/654. Expect 20DMA retest 614/617. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| IWM | 1HR | — | — | Back into demand. 20DMA test possible. Not much interest until we see how demand steps up. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
/ES
30min
Support
7,512
7,506
Resistance
7,462
7,585
BULL
Look for channel low pullback longs at 7506/7512 or deeper at 7462/7473. Reclaim over 7600 & 20DMA is the ultimate long.
BEAR
I would like shorts below the 50DMA at 7450 or you could look for a fade at the 7600 supply.
Stuck within a clear channel on ES. We need to be aware of the chop that could occur within this zone. Nice demand at 7506/7512 but likely to see fails at the 7585/7600 supply.
That 7600 supply is also the 20DMA. I would assume that is a tough spot today. If we reclaim the 20DMA & 7600, that sets off the next leg higher. That is the key move on this market right now.
Above 20DMA, we see a move into 7650 & likely 7683. Those are great upside targets.
If we fail the 7506, we trade into the Wednesday low at 7462/7473. Below 7462, watch for the 50DMA.
/NQ
30min
Support
30,800
30,584
Resistance
30,247
30,520
BULL
Look for a pullback long at 30520/30584. I would also be looking for bounces off the 20DMA. If we reclaim 30800, we run into 31000.
BEAR
Personally, I'd only like shorts below 30247. Pullback longs is the right way to think above the 20DMA.
20DMA holding strong on NQ. If we continue to consolidate above the 20DMA, the stronger we get. Building the base for the next move higher. Need to see a reclaim above 30800 today for a move into the 31000 level.
If we fail the 30800 level, we will come down to retest the 30520/30584 demand. That will be the key higher low this morning. Under 30520, you likely see a drop back towards that 20DMA to get tested again.
Must hold demand low at the Tuesday low from last week at 30247.25. If that breaks, we see real downside.
Single Stocks (22)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPCX | 1HR | — | — | Let's see if we hold the IPO highs... |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| META | 1HR | 560 / 565 | 600 | Not much interest, possible demand hold at 560/565. Over 600 & 20DMA is best. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 1HR | — | 373 | No interest inside channel. Wait for break & hold over 373. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AAPL | 1HR | 294 | 302 / 303 | Need to see higher low hold at 294. If fail, move back to 50DMA. Wait for break & hold over 20DMA at 302/303. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 1HR | 100 / 101 / 93 / 94 | — | Maintain 100/101 demand & 200DMA. Higher low. Deeper pullback to 93/94 demand also good. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DELL | 1HR | 399 / 402 | 440 / 443 | Maintain 399/402 demand. Breakout above 440/443 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRWV | 1HR | 114 / 115 / 110 / 111 | 122 | Consolidation above 114.76/115.75 fantastic. Even deeper pullback to 50DMA & 111/110 great. Over 122.50, CRWV takes off. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 1HR | 277 / 282 | 298 / 299 / 300 | Perfect higher lows developing above 277/282. Maintains → move higher. Holds over 298/299 for breakout over 300. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| INTC | 4HR | 132 / 135 / 125 / 126 | — | Breakout above ATH. Pullbacks to 132.60/135 for new longs. Deeper at 125/126 great. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MRVL | 1HR | 302 / 305 | 321 / 330 | Would like to see 302/305 demand hold strong. Holds over 321.50 sends higher into 330 supply. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| ARM | 1HR | 411 / 416 | 440 / 444 | Pullbacks to 411/416 demand for new entries. Consolidation above those previous highs is perfect. Holds over 440/444 for breakout. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| WDC | 30MIN | 725 / 730 | 792 / 800 | Awesome hold over Tuesday highs at 725/730. Break & retest above ATH at 792/800 for new entries. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SNDK | 30MIN | 2124 / 2167 | — | Holds at 1950 on Wednesday were perfect. Reclaim Mon low at 2016/2021 was catalyst. Pullbacks to Mon/Tues high 2124/2167 for entries. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 30MIN | 1125 / 1133 | — | Absolute ripper. MU earnings this week. Pullback holds at 1125/1133 are best entry. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AVGO | 30MIN | 400 / 403 | 415 | Continue to structure higher. Holds over 400/403 demand keep us higher. 20 & 50DMA supply above will be heavy. Above 415, more true breakout. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| AMD | 30MIN | 527 / 530 | 543 / 546 | Higher lows above 527/530 demand. If stays clean, remain higher. Target 543/546 supply. Above 546 run towards ATH. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NVDA | 30MIN | 207 / 207 | 211 | Holds over 207/207.70 good but major wall above to break. Need reclaim of 20DMA & 211.40 for any real upside continuation. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| TSLA | 4HR | 382 / 387 | — | Still not much to be interested in. Demand possible at 382/387 but doesn't see this resulting in anything worth trading. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1HR | 4140 / 4050 | 4237 / 4267 | 4400 supply & 20DMA rejection perfect. Lower high forming below 4267/4237. Look for fails there for move back to 4140. Below 4140, trade into 4050. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DRAM | 15MIN | 72 / 73 / 77.5 / 77.7 | — | Absolutely gone! Hold above Thu HOD 77.50/77.70. If fail, slippage possible but pullbacks good. MU ER this week. Best pullback 72/73 demand. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 1HR | 640 / 642 | 652 / 654 | Holding over ATH at 652/654. Remain above = continues higher. Break 652 = fail to 640/642 demand. Good pullback long at 642/640. |
|
No chart available
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| IWM | 1HR | 291 / 293 | 296 / 298 | Ready for breakout. Hold 291/293 demand ideal. Above 296.14, into ATH at 298.12. |
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No chart available
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/ES
15min
Support
7,570
7,560
Resistance
7,460
7,560
BULL
Pullback long at the 7506/7516 or reclaim of 7560/7570 for longs into the 20DMA & 7600.
BEAR
Potential fade at the 7570 but wouldn't be my first choice. Best short remains below 7460. Higher fade possible near the 20DMA & 7600.
Need to get above 7560/7570 today. If we can reclaim, we should see a move back into the 20DMA. That 7602/7612 supply will be heavy.
If we cannot reclaim 7560/7570 today, this is a chance of a lower high rejection here. That would keep the ES within last Friday's trading range. Downside would likely find demand around 7506/7516 or lower at the 7460/7470 demand.
That hold that 7470 was awesome, clean level right off Friday LOD. Will be a key inflection point to monitor.
/NQ
15min
Support
30,584
30,282
Resistance
30,100
30,247
BULL
Pullback long 30282. Reclaim 30584 for upside into the 30755.
BEAR
Possible fades at the 30520/30584. Cautious shorting into the 20DMA. Below 30247 is best short.
The reclaim back above 30247 is extremely bullish for me today. If we maintain that, we should see this NQ consolidate & move higher.
If we get a break above 30584, we will get the breakout move towards 30755. That is a top watch today. Cautious of supply at 30800.
Look for pullbacks into the 30247/30282 demand & 20DMA for entries long. Below 30247, we slip back into the 30100.
/ES
30min
Support
7,580
7,550
Resistance
7,512
7,550
BULL
Look for the higher low & hold over 20 DMA. This would be a great hold at 7580. If we can reclaim the 7612, we squeeze higher.
BEAR
Break below 7580 drives us lower into the 7560.
Look for the higher low at 7580/7585. This alongside the 20DMA would be a very interesting pullback long setup. We'll see how the bulls step in today.
If we lose 7580, we will go lower into the 7550 demand. Also a key spot to watch. Below 7550, we go into the 7512.
Reclaim the 7612, we squeeze higher into the 7640. Over 7640, into the 7677.
/NQ
5min
Support
30,382
Resistance
30,020
30,247
BULL
Look for higher lows at 30381/30407. Look to see if the 20DMA continues to defend. Reclaim over 30628 would be ideal.
BEAR
I would like to see the fail below 20DMA for short side. Under 30247 is ideal for a move into 30020.
The long idea off the 20DMA remains valid. We have to see if that remains today intra-day & if we can create higher lows. Looking to see if this 30381.50 demand can hold today. If so, we can trade back into the 30565/30628 supply.
Will need a reclaim of that Monday pre market high at 30628 for upside into the 30800 again. Reclaim 30800 for the move back into 30915.
If we fail below 30381 today, we will come down to retest the 20DMA & the PDL. Losing 30250 would definitely give us reason to look for more selling to come in.
Single Stocks (20)
| Ticker | TF | Support | Resistance | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 1h | 206 / 207 | 20 | 206/207 demand has to hold, fail = back to 204. 20DMA will be tough. No interest until 20DMA reclaim. |
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No chart available
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| AMD | 1h | 505 / 500 | 530 / 546 | Good retest of 505 demand. Higher low? Need reclaim of 530 supply. Below 500, 20DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
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| META | 1h | 590 | 605 / 615 | Need reclaim & hold over 20DMA. 590 to hold to keep move strong. |
|
No chart available
|
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| AAPL | 1h | 297 / 298 | 302 | Higher lows over 297/298 would be ideal to keep us higher towards 302. |
|
No chart available
|
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| AMZN | 1h | 244 / 245 | 250 | Can we hold the higher low today at 244/245 — that is the key! |
|
No chart available
|
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| AVGO | 1h | 400 | 430 | Flipped below Friday highs. Could be lower high rejection. Still above 100 & 200DMA. Patience. |
|
No chart available
|
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| ARM | 1h | 385 / 388 / 367 | 410 | Upside supply rejecting. Consolidating above 385/388 demand — still bullish. Pullbacks to zone. Deeper at 367. |
|
No chart available
|
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| MRVL | 1h | 275 | 316 | 316 supply rejected yesterday. 275 demand — let's see if it holds. 20DMA may be best entry. |
|
No chart available
|
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| INTC | 1h | 114 / 115 | 125 / 126 | Pullback to 20DMA & 114/115 demand. Clean spot for longs. But 125/126 supply will be tough. |
|
No chart available
|
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| SNDK | 30min | 2021 / 2032 | 2118 | See if SNDK holds above Monday lows at 2021/2032. Holds → back to 2118. Fail → 1950 demand. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| MU | 30min | 1040 / 1018 | 1080 | Maintain 1040 demand. Tested 1018 (Thu high) yesterday — good retest. Tough to get above 1080. |
|
No chart available
|
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| DRAM | 1h | 67 | 69.5 / 70 | Retest of 69.50/70 highs would be ideal. Below 69.50, back into 67. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GC | 1h | 4240 | 4280 | Still below major supply. Prefer GC to trade back to 4240 demand before any longs. |
|
No chart available
|
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| IWM | 1h | 290 / 291 | 293 / 295 | Retest on IWM — 290.87/291.40 demand to hold strong. Reclaim 293.15 → 295. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| SMH | 30min | 613 / 617 | 630 / 632 / 640 | Gap fill read. Cautious shorting above 613/617. Failing 630/632. Reclaim → 640. Fail 613.69 → 20DMA at 599. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| CRWV | 1h | 117 / 110 / 111 | 122 | Big day yesterday. Higher low at 117. Run into 122 today. Love the 110/111 retest long at 50DMA. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| NBIS | 1h | 260 / 263 | 275 / 277 | Nice break over 260/263 yesterday. See if we can turn into higher low. Upside supply 275/277. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| HOOD | 1h | 94 | 100 | Target hit on HOOD. 200DMA will be tough. Look for 94 as spot to reload the long. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| DELL | 1h | 399 / 402 | 415 | Look for DELL hold of 399/402. Above = setting up next move. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
| GOOG | 1h | 365 | 375 | True breakout only after reclaim of 20DMA. 365 demand to stay as higher low. |
|
No chart available
|
||||
Cumulative P&L
+$320.61
all time
Win Rate
50.0%
1W / 1L / 0BE
Avg Win
+$336.00
per winning trade
Avg Loss
-$15.39
per losing trade
Best Trade
+$336.00
single trade max
Worst Trade
-$15.39
single trade max
Cumulative P&L
Daily P&L
Streaks
Current Streak
1L
Best Streak
1W
Worst Streak
1L
Profit Factor
21.83
Avg Contracts
3.5
Trading Days
2
By Ticker
| Ticker | Trades | Win % | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | 2 | 50% | +$320.61 |
Calls vs Puts
CALL
1 trades
Win Rate
0%
P&L
-$15.39
PUT
1 trades
Win Rate
100%
P&L
+$336.00
Trade Journal
Loading calendar...
2026-03-11
SPY
PUT
$677
exp 2026-03-13
+$336.00
qty 3
entry $4.59
exit $5.71
Scaled out: sold 1 at 5.87, 1 at 5.42, 1 at 5.83 (avg exit 5.71). Entry 4.59 × 3 contracts. Rudy Notes: Market has been on a downtrend and I had $678.00 as a major level on the higher time frames (4H, 1H, and 30M). I was looking for the market to gravitate towards the next liquidity point on the lower time frames (15M, 5M, and 2M) which are the time frames I use to enter trades. The next liquidity point was $165. That was my target which was a 2:24 trade. My stop was $678.61. I usually want a minimum of 2:1 but sometimes try to get 3:1. If I have more size ill leave runners.
2026-03-12
SPY
CALL
$669
exp 2026-03-13
$-15.39
qty 4
entry $4.08
exit $4.04
Scaled in: bought 1 at 4.16, 1 at 4.24, 2 at 3.94 (avg entry 4.08). Scaled out: sold 2 at 2.96, 2 at 5.13 (avg exit 4.04). 1DTE 669 calls. Essentially breakeven — early exit on 2 contracts at 2.96 offset the profitable 5.13 exit on the other 2. Rudy Notes: I saw that we gapped down in the morning, and I was looking at $668 level as a point where the market would want to go and take out that liquidity and head towards filling the gap above or at least gravitate towards it. The $668 level was a major point on March 9th, it was where the market really took off in the afternoon to the upside. Ended up being that the market needed to go to 667 and take up that liquidity to go up. As you can see about my fills, I got in a little higher than I would have liked, but my overall average ended up being around that 668.95, like 669 level, which was my overall strike price from my contracts. I was aiming to get out mostly at prior day low, which was at 673.34. I knew I would scale out a little bit at the daily high, which was around 672, just under that, and so I wanted to sell one contract there and then two at the priority low point, but fortunately we never got up there. It was one of the most choppiest days I've seen in a long time, so it was a rough market today. I was glad I was able to at least break even. I should have sold three out of the four contracts at that 6.71, 21 level instead of only selling two. That would have helped me get more profitable, but you live and you learn.